Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.230849 0.245811 0.261544 0.279373 0.299078 0.320260 0.344849
2025-02-16 0.191741 0.212969 0.236773 0.265690 0.300211 0.340546 0.391914
2025-02-23 0.168711 0.193386 0.222440 0.259736 0.307193 0.366805 0.449480
2025-03-02 0.151846 0.178246 0.210521 0.253801 0.311831 0.389380 0.505510
2025-03-09 0.139711 0.167194 0.201844 0.250045 0.317675 0.413220 0.567006
2025-03-16 0.130062 0.158147 0.194475 0.246619 0.322743 0.435826 0.630655
2025-03-23 0.124652 0.153969 0.192873 0.250518 0.338222 0.475719 0.731397
2025-03-30 0.117635 0.147007 0.186741 0.247060 0.341834 0.496984 0.804519
2025-04-06 0.110257 0.139011 0.178479 0.239528 0.337905 0.504649 0.853219
2025-04-13 0.103758 0.131816 0.170819 0.232143 0.333203 0.509964 0.898262
2025-04-20 0.100527 0.128986 0.169208 0.233840 0.343624 0.544155 1.017055
2025-04-27 0.098299 0.127419 0.169284 0.238105 0.358833 0.590069 1.181509
2025-05-04 0.094580 0.123584 0.165852 0.236614 0.364053 0.618029 1.315498
2025-05-11 0.090701 0.119353 0.161608 0.233509 0.366117 0.640280 1.446624
2025-05-18 0.087381 0.115787 0.158180 0.231503 0.370048 0.667643 1.610538
2025-05-25 0.083894 0.111801 0.153858 0.227588 0.369763 0.685323 1.753886
2025-06-01 0.080920 0.108451 0.150347 0.224803 0.371386 0.708005 1.933071
2025-06-08 0.078172 0.105317 0.147002 0.222032 0.372669 0.730149 2.128995
2025-06-15 0.076876 0.104346 0.147079 0.225423 0.387297 0.790847 2.562419
2025-06-22 0.074430 0.101477 0.143880 0.222490 0.387800 0.812875 2.827232
2025-06-29 0.071466 0.097689 0.138987 0.216049 0.379802 0.808763 2.940579
2025-07-06 0.068685 0.094101 0.134288 0.209712 0.371475 0.802345 3.039678
2025-07-13 0.067486 0.092977 0.133680 0.211172 0.381261 0.853932 3.613038